The following summer offers are of extremely good value and can therefore only run for a limited time period - they include access to all UK & Ireland month ahead/seasonal forecasts for the subscription duration including Autumn & Winter 2014/15 (normally priced at £10 each)
1 Year Full Subscription For £12.99* - Normally £74.99
3 Year Full Subscription For £24.99* - Normally £174.99
5 Year Full Subscription For £44.99* - Normally £249.99
Current subscribers can also extend their memberships with the above offers.
(The 5 year offer also includes FREE essentials of climate change book HERE)
Will the UK & Ireland see a winter like 2009 & 2010 or are we likely to experience another mild & stormy winter?
UK & Ireland Winter Forecast 2014/15
2 x Reports now available including major snow risk dates for the UK & Ireland
The UK Met Office forecast mild winters for what was the coldest winter in 31 years during 2009 + the coldest December in 100 years in 2010 (when our forecasts suggested otherwise)
also includes December, January & February 6 and 4 week ahead forecasts for the UK & Ireland
The Summer Is Not Over & Warm/Hot Weather Will Break Through For The UK & Ireland This Month
High pressure will start to become a more prominent feature from the south of the country as we progress throughout this weekend and into next week. This will bring a rise in temperatures and more settled weather in comparison to the last few days for many, in particular, in some southern, central and western parts of the country. However, some parts of the north and the far north in particular are likely to see some periods of mixed and changeable weather developing at times.
As we enter the final part of the month (from in or around the 20th onwards) it is likely to become exceptionally warmer and much more settled as we see a return to summer for many parts of the country. High pressure will build northwards across many parts of the country within this period and bring a significant rise in temperatures throughout the latter part of August and into early September. Parts to the south of the country are likely to become exceptionally hot and temperatures could climb to well in excess of 30C in these parts, whilst many other parts of the country are also likely to bask in well above average temperatures and some glorious periods of late summer sunshine.
Unfortunately, the low that formed in relation to the remnants of Hurricane Bertha (not Bertha herself) has proved to be quite persistent and initially offset the timing of the projected warm/hot spell of weather, this has also resulted in some much cooler and more unsettled weather instead. However, things will gradually improve from the south as we progress throughout this week and into the final part of August and our forecast will be back on track. The British summer is far from over in terms of some widespread warm to hot spells of weather that is still to come within this period.
The UK & Ireland month ahead forecast to subscribers for the period of the 21st - 31st August also stated (issued in July):
UPDATE ADDED: Thursday 14th August 2014 (11:48) - James Madden
Bertha Update + High Pressure Build Later?
Bertha has proved to be of no 'major' significance for many or nowhere as near as bad as earlier indications from elsewhere, with most parts experiencing some moderate winds to moderate to heavy showers at worst. Some parts of the south/London experienced a minimal impact from Bertha and they also experienced some clear blue skies and periods of warm sunshine throughout Sunday, and the worst of the conditions missed us altogether and hit other parts of Europe instead - as suggested within our earlier indications (despite alternative indications from elsewhere).
However, there has been the odd exception in some 'limited' locations for some flooding or 'remote' areas for stronger winds (not widespread), for which others/media will obviously cherry pick to justify their earlier indications, or for certain individuals who will try and prove our forecast as incorrect. None of the news channels are reporting on this event within their main bulletins as of Monday Morning or on any losses of life, which would have been the case if this had developed as others expected it to.
Some flooding can be expected in limited places from moderate to heavy rain at any time with the warm/dry conditions that we have experienced throughout this summer so far, and due to poor absorption ability on dry ground.
Some of these conditions were also due to how they have interacted with secondary weather features and other areas of low pressure (not Bertha) and this was something that was also not forecast by the BBC or Met Office, as the worst of the conditions never hit us and went into other parts of Western Europe - as suggested.
A savvy Facebook follower also posted the following post in recognition of the above too:
Our forecast update on Wednesday 6th August 2014 at 07:28am also suggested the following, despite suggestions from elsewhere:
The most likely outcome for Hurricane Bertha in terms of our forecasting parameters suggests that it will become a rapidly dissipating feature. It will also decrease in its projected intensity over the coming days from other forecasters and in terms of it hitting the UK as a 'powerful storm', as will the details and exact track for it to hit the UK, with most parts of the country supposedly seeing heavy rain, strong winds and massive waves.
Sunday could actually bring some rather warm and settled weather in places instead, in particular, across the 'southern half' of the country. High pressure and the positioning of the Jet-Stream will also hinder any 'major effects' and 'serious implications' that Hurricane Bertha could have impacted on the UK within this period, and in terms of a 'very powerful storm'.
UPDATE REVISED: Monday 11th August 2014 (09:17am) - James Madden