UK & Ireland Winter Weather Forecast 2014/15
Our UK & Ireland winter 2014/15 forecast defines a particular period of exceptional cold and major snow events due to sudden stratospheric warming and jet stream displacement in the link provided below.
Also includes an alternative volcanic winter report for the possibility of a major volcanic eruption in Iceland.
Exacta Weather have also accurately forecast sudden stratospheric warming and jet stream displacement events from several months in advance for the exact dates for the coldest December in 100 years (2010) the coldest March in 130 years (2013) and the coldest U.S. winter in 100 years (2013/14).
High Pressure Staying In Control?
High pressure will initially stay in control as we begin the new working week, and despite a chilly start to the day on Monday, many places will see some further periods of pleasant sunshine developing once any fog patches and cloud clear away. However, some parts further north will see some rain developing as we progress throughout tomorrow evening and into Tuesday, in particular, in parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland. A similar day will follow on Tuesday in terms of pleasant sunshine for a good bulk of the country once any fog patches and cloud clear away, although some parts further north may see more in the way of persistent cloud and developing showers in places.
The middle part of the week will see more of a north/west and south division. Fresher, windier and more unsettled conditions will tend to linger in some parts to the north, although probably dissipating somewhat in progression to become lighter natured in parts of northern England and some parts to the west. More southern areas will see the best of the warmest temperatures and more settled weather, although some cloud cover may also be of hindrance at times in these parts too.
However, from Thursday onwards is likely to see high pressure becoming a more prominent feature and pushing in from parts to the south and west of the country. This could also be a more prominent feature than what is currently being indicated from elsewhere and other third party weather models as we progress throughout the remainder of the week. This would see temperatures rising to some quite warm values for the time of the year in the sunshine across a good bulk of England, Wales and Ireland, and in particular, across parts of the far south, where it may become very warm for a number of days within this period.
Current suggestions from elsewhere indicate a more unsettled picture for parts of the north and west throughout Friday to Sunday. However, these could literally be restricted to parts of the very far north for an odd day or two within this period, whilst a good bulk of the country experiences more in the way of settled weather and a continuation of the Indian Summer type conditions (warm sunshine), due to high pressure taking control once again.
However, it is possible that some further thundery showers could be triggered off in places within this developing scenario, in particular, in some parts to the south and west, but it is not a given.
Our 30 day ahead UK and Ireland forecast issued to subscribers also stated the following:
There are a number of alternative scenarios with equal weighting to consider for the remainder of the forecasting period 21st - 30th September:
1. High pressure will build through the country and bring settled weather and warm temperatures + some periods of sunshine for many parts of the country within this
period and into early October.
2. High pressure will be more prominent in the south and parts to the north and west will remain more changeable with some outbreaks of rain and rather unsettled/cooler conditions.
The following Daily Express article from the 21st September also features details of our 150 day ahead autumn forecast for the UK and Ireland Indian Summer statement for September and into October @
It also covers details of the recent thunderstorms that occurred in parts to the south and west of the country from our 150 day ahead autumn forecast @
UPDATE ADDED: Sunday 21st September 2014 (23:11) - James Madden