A Detailed Explanation Of What To Expect For The UK/Ireland From High Pressure In The Coming Weeks + Why Other Forecasters Aren't Making A Song And Dance About This...
After a cool and rather unsettled start to the week, a much more settled and warmer outlook will start to develop for many as the Azores high begins to exert its influence across the UK and Ireland. However, there will be the odd exception and some 'occasional' showers or 'light rain' will develop at times over the next several days, in particular, in parts to the north. The coming days and into next week will see temperatures rising into the low 20s at the very least in certain parts of the south, and it will also feel pleasantly warm and mild for the time of year in the sunnier periods among some unfortunate and variable cloud cover in parts from the north to the south of the country. However, the far north and west will be at risk from the more generally and 'occasional' unsettled and cooler 'blips' of weather with some extensive cloud cover at times, and parts of the south will therefore fare much better from the high pressure ridges that are likely to frequently develop in terms of overall temperature and developing sunshine in the coming weeks. However, it certainly won't be a washout and temperatures will be at around to above-average at times in the best of the sunshine further north, to above-average and quite warm conditions at times in parts further south, although probably not as prominent or as warm as it could have been during the overall development process. The evenings and mornings will also be noticeably warmer in comparison to recent conditions for many (these are all factors that we will personally notice and be able to feel to our weather changes).
All of this is a quite notable and more settled period of weather and decent temperatures in comparison to what we have experienced throughout this month to date, and despite others not making a song and dance about this - as their models have only just changed around from an unsettled and cooler theme that they was forecasting for the foreseeable (the reason why). The coming weeks and into the start of June will also bring additional rises in high pressure and above-average temperatures for all parts of the country at times, and this will result in some lengthy periods of good weather for all, and a warming trend in temperatures, despite other computer models not recognising this at present.
Our earlier forecast indications ahead of other standard weather models that have only just adjusted to a more settled and warmer scenario stated on the 12th May 2015 (10 days earlier):
However, despite some small blips of unsettled weather at times in the coming weeks, there will also be plenty of dry and settled weather to come for many parts of the country. The more settled weather will also be accompanied by some potentially warm to hot temperature surges from the near Continent at times throughout the remainder of the month and into the start of June.