Exacta Weather began in 2010 with our first long range weather and climate forecasts. We've been expanding our offerings ever since and have grown to become one of the largest and well-known private weather companies in the UK, Ireland and in more recent years within the United States for our long range weather and solar forecasting.
Exacta Weather is not government funded and relies on user support through forecast subscriptions at a minimal cost to users. We don't posses multi-million pound supercomputers, and simply have access to our own individual model that we have built from scratch. This model also incorporates solar methodology and other major factors that we consider to be important for forecasting long and short range weather events, and without what we have analysed repeatedly as a global warming bias from elsewhere. This has helped us to correctly identify and define a number of major 100 year weather events from several months in advance of occurrence, such as; the coldest UK/Ireland December in 100 years (2010), the wettest UK/Ireland summer in 100 years (2012), the coldest UK/Ireland March in 130 years (2013) the coldest United States winter in 100 years (2013/14) and the multiple 100 year records for snow and cold that were shattered in many locations throughout November 2014 in the United States + a large number of major and much shorter range weather events such as; heatwaves, major storms and snow events that we also forecast in advance of conventional meteorology, and what were almost alternative/opposing forecasts from elsewhere until nearer the time.
As is the nature of weather forecasting or a 'forecast', some forecasts have been less accurate than others. However, our seasonal forecasts attain an overall and honest success rate of around 70% over the past 5 years, and since our first forecasts were issued in 2010. Our overall accuracy within our long range forecasts is something that we aim to maintain and build upon further in the coming years and decades. In addition to our unorthodox method of forecasting, we can unfortunately attract some negative and slanderous comments for whom a vast majority have a traceable affiliation with other weather companies/or via misleading articles from recurring aliases who defend the UK Met Office, despite their multitude of forecast failures. Unfortunately, standard meteorologists and the general consensus believe that you can't forecast accurately for no more than a few days ahead, and they also choose to rely on ever-changing computer models to deliver their forecasts. They also don't incorporate or fully understand how solar activity and other skills can be applied as large contributing factors within weather forecasting, and this is why they choose to endeavour in this derogatory behaviour towards Exacta Weather as a business, and under closer inspection some of these perpetrators have failed attempts at weather forecasting and must feel that they deserve to be the in the position of Exacta Weather. It is also the reason why certain individuals from the same IP address choose to participate in manipulating auto-search results that already apply elsewhere.
Exacta Weather was also a voluntary weather service from 2010 until June 2012, and for two whole years, we never made a single penny for any of our weather services or wanted to. However, Exacta Weather had expanded considerably in size and visitors to our website within this 2-year period, for which so did the overall workload and cost. For the hours committed and to keep Exacta Weather going, there was no alternative but to keep expanding our services at a minimal cost to users. We would kindly ask that you bear all this in mind by allowing yourself to make your own mind up about our services, and by comparing our forecasting achievements to date, to those who make these false or misleading claims for what is supposedly an incomplete or difficult science to master; or so they say, when it applies to them. Our forecasting and media archive also clearly demonstrate otherwise here + our correct national newspaper front page headlines to date here.
Our dated science from as early as 2009/10 is now starting to become more accepted by many other scientists as we suggested within our early work and forecast indications. However, they continue to manipulate the cause to try and give some substance to their earlier and 'certain' global warming indications which we refuted.
Recent scientific articles (2015) such as this will now become more commonplace in the coming years and decades:
Britain Faces Freezing Winters As Slump In Solar Activity Threatens Little Ice Age
It also stated the following: James Madden, forecaster for Exacta Weather, said the effects may be felt as soon as this winter.
He also said: “Solar activity levels, or solar flux, are currently estimated to be at their lowest for the last 100 years. “We will head into another rapid decline throughout the remainder of the upcoming year. “On the basis of past solar activity levels it is an inevitability that solar and sunspot activity will continue to fall off the charts in the coming years and decades.”
Our Earlier Solar Activity Predictions
There has recently been a large amount of hype and global media reports surrounding the sun entering a new Maunder/Dalton minimum type state. Having looked into this in more depth, the bulk of it appears to stem from claims in regard to the quadrupole/quadrupolar sun from the Japanese Astronomical society and international media reports dated from as early as 20th April 2012.
The important factors that I have gathered from this information is that:
According to the Japanese Astronomical society, the magnetic shifts in the sun replicate those that occurred during the “little ice age” when the River Thames used to freeze over in London. Their data suggests that the sun is about to enter a period of reduced solar activity/hibernation, even though the exact opposite is meant to be happening, and in accordance with the professional and scientific predictions to date.
Although this is nothing new in terms of the claims that I have been consistently making in regard to our future weather and climate, it is further weighting towards my scientific suggestions and personal methodology. There are also far easier methods of arriving at this conclusion before the release of this scientific information from the Japanese Astronomical society.
These changes have also occurred much earlier than the leading scientists/professional bodies were anticipating.
I published the following information in an update on the 27th February 2012 (several weeks before the release of this information from the Japanese Astronomical society).
“We are now facing such an extremely low period of solar activity over the coming years and decades, due to the strong correlation of historical evidence that I have analysed repeatedly. Furthermore, in some of my earlier posts that date back over the past three years, I have also reported and stressed my concerns that we are heading for a new Dalton/Maunder minimum like scenario. Some recent solar activity indices and the behaviour of the thermosphere could also be a strong indication that this is occurring much sooner than others sources are currently anticipating.”
I have also published/provided the following information on the subsequent dates:
Mr Madden said he believes harsh winters are here to stay. "I think we could be headed towards that,"he said. "I believe this is just the start of that cycle."(The Herald Ireland – September and October 2011).
James Madden's winter predictions are based on a change in the sun's activity. “Based on my current research, the UK does need to prepare for much colder winters at present and in the near future, especially if nothing changes in regard to current solar activity levels and the shift of the Gulf Stream.”(Aired BBC One 7:30pm - 6th December 2010).
I am therefore suggesting that there are very cold times ahead, that could even replicate little ice age conditions or worse. We could well be heading for a new Maunder minimum. (6th September 2010 – Archived on blog and YouTube channel).
I simply want to make as many people aware of my science theories as possible, because if they are correct, there are some very tough and cold times ahead. (1st November 2009 – Archived on blog).
The sun is currently blank of sunspots and solar activity is at very low levels, striking fears of huge global cooling on earth, similar to the Sporer, Maunder, or Dalton minimum. (22nd January
2009 – Archived on blog).
I also made all of these statements when global warming had a fairly tight stronghold upon the scientific and global community from the alarmists. This particular subject will now be questioned by many in time to come. I have also made very strong scientific suggestions as to how this intrinsically alters our weather and climate.
This item was originally published on the 22nd May 2012. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KZR80ikDF04&feature=player_embedded
Solar Activity & Sunspots
As you may or may not be aware via my work and forecasts since 2009, I firmly believe that the UK has now entered a long term pattern of cooler wetter summers and more severe winters. Please feel free to examine any of my early blog or video entries. This does not necessarily mean that every summer or winter will follow this exact trend, and as a large part of the 2011/12 winter also quite conclusively proved.
This period of transition is largely due to major changes in solar activity levels and how this affects major natural factors here on earth. This transitional period is also part of a cyclical and predictable pattern that has occurred many times throughout our earth's history.
So let's take sunspots and their importance, for example. Sunspots are dark magnetic regions that are visible on the surface of the solar disc.
The amount of solar energy we receive from these sunspots, and the earth directed ejections have an important bearing on a number of major natural factors including: 1. The heating of the stratosphere 2. Atmospheric circulation 3. Ocean circulation 4. Cloud formation
Sunspots are also a good indicator of how magnetically active the sun is. The more magnetically active the sun is, the larger and more intense the sunspots are. Solar storms are also generally emitted from areas that surround these sunspots. However, a less magnetically active sun sets off a whole chain reaction of changes to a number of attributes that influence our climate and weather patterns. The sunspots and solar storms become less intense and infrequent when the sun is not as magnetically active. This also allows the cosmic ray flux to increase and hit earth more frequently. The increase in cosmic rays enhances low level cloud coverage and deflects heat back into space, something that occurred during the Maunder Minimum.
UV rays are also an equally important attribute when the sun is less magnetically active. Less UV rays are emitted from solar storms when there are less sunspots. A decrease in UV radiation and solar winds hitting the earth's upper atmosphere alter the properties of the stratosphere, atmospheric circulation and the distribution of storm tracks. The amount of solar radiation that we receive also has an important bearing on the heating of ocean currents such as the Gulf Stream, which is especially significant to the likes of the UK andIreland. I have also extensively reported on all of these factors quite frequently over the past few years.
FIG.1 - Near solar maximum in 2001 (NASA/SOHO)
FIG.2 - Galileo sunspots 1612 (Science Museum)
FIG.3 - 27th February 2012 (NASA/SOHO)
The point I am trying to illustrate here, is that we are now recording extra solar activity today that we weren't recording several years ago or through the lenses of Galileo's telescope (FIG 1 & 2). Just look at the magnitude of the sunspots from Galileo (FIG.2) 33 years before the Maunder Minimum in comparison to today's sun in (FIG.3). Galileo was simply recording these with his telescope at certain times of the day. Today, we are constantly recording solar storms and sunspots in 3D 'close up and from the side' since the NASA twin satellite launch in 2006. We are now also meant to be heading into a solar maximum and seeing some huge increases in solar activity according to many other sources.
However, I have reported many times that solar activity and sunspots are minuscule in comparison to what they should be right now, and in accordance to all NASA's predictions to date in recent years. I have also strongly emphasised that the low levels of solar activity that we have experienced in recent years, will also enhance periods of low solar activity in the present and future solar cycles. We are now facing such an extremely low period of solar activity over the coming years and decades, due to the strong correlation of historical evidence that I have analysed repeatedly. Furthermore, in some of my earlier posts that date back over the past three years, I have also reported and stressed my concerns that we are heading for a new Dalton/Maunder minimum like scenario. Some recent solar activity indices and the behaviour of the thermosphere could also be a strong indication that this is occurring much sooner than others sources are currently anticipating.
This will also not be counteracted by any so called effects of global warming or CO2 based on my own calculations, and the historical evidence that I have reviewed to date. In periods of high solar activity, up to double the amount of UV rays are emitted from stronger solar storms, which contribute towards the formation of ozone. This effectively traps heat radiation and acts as an insulator (warming) during periods of high solar activity.
This item was originally published on the 27th February 2012. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78kbN-zAlms&feature=player_embedded