Storm Imogen Arrives On Cue + Colder With Widespread Snow
A stormy start to the week could see gales in excess of 70-90 mph in some southern coastal areas, and this could also bring some uprooted trees and structural damage in these parts. Areas further north should see more in the way of some sunshine and showers to start the week, in particular, in parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland. As the stormy conditions start to lessen throughout Monday evening an area of rain and showers will readily turn to widespread snow showers across many parts of the country during the early hours of Tuesday morning and into Tuesday day.
Our much earlier updates/media reports from last week covered Storm Imogen + 90 mph winds + rain turning to snow (I think we can be forgiven for being 24-48 hours out for something that wasn't even showing on the radar of other forecasters until recently).
**Those who were recently calling a non-event for Exacta Weather never seen that one coming!!!
The following Daily Mirror/Express articles from several days earlier also correctly stated the following in reference to this:
James Madden, forecaster for Exacta Weather, said: "Some developing winds towards the end of this week could be well in excess of 80-90 mph in places, and with this comes the potential for some accompanying blizzards across the north, in particular, across higher ground but not restricted to these parts. "It is within this period that we will see an area of heavy rain turning to heavy snow as it clashes with the colder air filtering in across the country."
Many parts of Northern, Central ,Southern England and Wales + Northern/Southern Ireland are all at risk of some potentially heavy snow showers in places within this period, and this does include lower levels of the country. Although the exact development and timing could deviate somewhat between now and then, the worst hit areas are likely to be in parts of Northern England, Wales and Southern England, in particular, in parts of the South-West and North/North-West. Please note: The development here is key as to whether parts of Northern England or South/South-West England see the heaviest snow showers for this particular snow event.
This could also come as quite a surprise snow event and catch some people unaware due to its sudden and recent development for standard/TV forecasters (our subscribers we're fully aware this storm was coming for these dates). Literally any part of the country could see snow/wintry showers at times throughout Tuesday, and with a cold evening to follow some lying snow on the ground could become a real issue in places from the north to the south of the country, in particular, across elevated areas.
Temperatures will also gradually decrease as we progress throughout the remainder of the upcoming week, and this will allow for further widespread snow of a more potent and severe nature across many parts of the country throughout Thursday and into next weekend.
Parts of Northern England/Ireland could be particularly badly hit, and other more Central and Southern regions of both England and Ireland are also at risk of some notable snow, in particular, from Thursday and into next weekend (TV forecasts will adjust nearer the time).
Our much earlier subscribers month ahead report also highlighted a major snowy period for in or around the 8th -12th February
In addition to the upcoming snow, some of the accompanying and strengthening winds could also bring some blizzard type conditions to places within this period, and the transition to colder weather will also bring widespread frosts and icy patches for many. This transition to colder weather will also continue into the following week and for much of February, with additional widespread snow events to follow thereafter + COLD WEATHER HEALTH ALERT WARNINGS (vulnerable and elderly). However, some occasional milder days can't be entirely ruled out and we have covered this in our month ahead/seasonal subscribers reports.
This really could be remembered as an exceptionally snowy February on current indications and with what is still to come in terms of a 'prolonged' cold spell - As indicated in our much earlier subscribers reports + in the free website updates posted earlier below.
Undeniable Proof Of A Changing Gulf Stream + What Next?
Just to reaffirm that the almost constant "strong winds/stormy conditions" that we are experiencing are part and parcel + CLEAR PROOF that the Gulf Stream has altered massively in recent years (something we have always stated would happen in our earlier long range/climate predictions + lots of winter storms, so much so that they are even being named now).
The Gulf Stream is not a constant, and when it alters at a state of such magnitude, it holds long term implications on our weather patterns. The exact weather patterns may stutter along the way, but our indications and other ample areas of science favour cooling (Ice Age circulation patterns) and not warming for this developing scenario. This is also initially and intrinsically brought about by low solar activity, and a lack of earth directed solar flares.
In addition to the Einstein office in Potsdam, Germany also agreeing with our science that the Gulf Stream has altered drastically (nothing to do with salinity in our science)... the only people/other scientists who have confirmed what we have been saying (also see earlier updates below)
A recent scientific article within the Daily Mirror titled "A mini ice age is on its way and this is what the UK will look like" also heavily featured Exacta Weather science and stated the following:
James Madden, forecaster for Exacta Weather, has previously said the UK should brace itself for colder winters from this year onwards.
He said: “This serious climate situation is also something that is unlikely to correct itself overnight as repeated analysis of past cycles and other contributing factors in relation to the current solar output and size/frequency of sunspots reveal to us quite conclusively that we are heading into something like a Maunder Minimum. "A time when the Thames used to freeze over regularly in London - or a fully blown ice age is inevitable in the coming years and decades.” Episodes of low solar activity were seen during the Maunder Minimum between 1645 and 1715 and the Dalton Minimum from 1790 to 1830.
UPDATE ADDED: Monday 8th February 2016 - James Madden - Added earlier to subscribers
Exacta Weather is sustained by subscriptions or donations at a minimal cost to users (from just a few pounds/euros/dollars upwards). Only a small amount of our readers actually give, and if everyone reading this was to subscribe or donate to our minimum subscription, it would ease our plight for the future as a small company with the costs of a high traffic information website and the long working hours we commit to the cause for little or no profit. If you find Exacta Weather useful, please take a minute to subscribe or contribute towards our future work. In return you will receive an excellent and always improving service that puts you in the know (more often than not) with major weather events for the UK, Ireland and the United States before they appear on the radar of other third party forecasters for many years to come.
A Mild Start To Be Followed By Widespread Snow?
The new working week will start on a rather mild note for many parts of the country. An area of low pressure will then bring some strengthening winds and heavy rain across northern and western areas during Tuesday, and with this comes the additional risk for some localised flooding in these parts. Our update below from the 11th January also stated "some brief milder interludes can't be entirely ruled out at times".
By the middle part of the week (Wednesday and into Thursday) we are also likely to see snow showers developing in parts as far south as Wales as rain turns to snow in places, in particular, in parts of the north and west. Although the main snow risk will be above higher ground within this period, some snow showers to certain lower levels also can't entirely be ruled out for the midweek period. This will then pave the way for some more notable snow and potential blizzards as the weather turns colder for many parts of the country, in particular, in parts of the north during next weekend (30th/31st) and some parts as far south as Central/Southern England could also be at risk of some notable snow within this period. However, this will just be the start of our very own 'potential' snow emergency, and we can expect SEVERAL widespread and potentially dangerous snow events with some crippling snow amounts from the north to the south of the country within this period and into the early part of February from a negative valued North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Arctic Oscillation (AO).
This could also make way for one of the snowiest and coldest February periods that we have experienced in quite some time due to how these factors intrinsically alter our weather patterns + More details to follow in the several page February PDF that will be uploaded to the members area shortly...
In addition to the upcoming snow events for the UK/Ireland - Exacta Weather also forecast the recent weather disaster in America for the exact dates and locations from 4 months ahead in our subscribers winter report...
Our USA forecast to subscribers from the 1st October 2015 (4 months ahead) also stated the following for parts of the East Coast/Mid-Atlantic regions for this exact period:
"A number of significant and newsworthy snow events are likely to occur for in or around the period of 19th - 23rd January for these regions - It is also important to remember that snow in the northeast or any other parts of the United States will look unlikely to other forecasters who don't use solar methodology until nearer the time of occurrence".
UPDATE ADDED: Monday 25th January 2016 - James Madden (ADDED EARLIER TO SUBSCRIBERS)
Exacta Weather is sustained by subscriptions or donations at a minimal cost to users (from just a few pounds/euros/dollars upwards). Only a small amount of our readers actually give, and if everyone reading this was to subscribe or donate to our minimum subscription, it would ease our plight for the future as a small company with the costs of a high traffic information website and the long working hours we commit to the cause for little or no profit. If you find Exacta Weather useful, please take a minute to contribute towards our future work. In return you will receive an excellent and always improving service that puts you in the know (more often than not) with major weather events for the UK, Ireland and the United States before they appear on the radar of other third party forecasters for many years to come.
January Arctic Blast Hits + Any More Snow/Cold To Come???
After the recent cold and widespread snow events across the country from last week, much of the upcoming week will also be staying rather cold/cool for many before a return to some milder weather conditions later in the week/early next week. However, with the upcoming expectation for the more neutral/negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Arctic Oscillation (AO) this is likely to be a brief affair before we see a return to colder and wintry weather conditions once again. Wintry conditions and snow will sporadically continue in some northern and eastern areas for the first half of the week, and some of this could be quite notable at times across higher ground. It will also be rather cold by midweek as temperatures drop significantly in places from some largely clear skies in the evenings for many.
The overall theme is likely to turn much more settled, drier and milder than of late from this point, in particular, in southern and eastern areas during the early part of next week as a more lively Atlantic brings a 'temporary' warm-up from a more southerly motion of warmer air across our shores. However, despite the more settled conditions, sunshine will actually be at a premium for many due to some extensive cloud cover and stubborn/widespread fog patches across the country at times throughout this week and into next week. Some of these fog patches could be quite dense at times and they may also persist throughout much of the day, in particular, in some southern and eastern parts of the country. These fog patches may also suppress temperatures in places from what they are currently showing at present.
It will also still feel quite chilly at times in parts of the north and west with some occasional wintry/snow showers popping up in places as things turn slightly unsettled from some developing windy conditions and periods of rain at times, in particular, on Friday. However, the drier and more settled weather conditions should be more dominant than the latter over the next several days.
As we head into the final part of January and the final month of the meteorological winter (February), we are likely to see a reversion to a more southerly driven jet-stream from a negative valued North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Arctic Oscillation (AO). This will in turn see a reversion to more colder and wintry weather with a number of additional widespread snow events within this period, and it's likely that February as a whole will be a much colder than average month for many parts of the country on current indications. We are likely to see some temperature variations at times as temperatures range from near to below/well below-average at times for many parts of the country. The mean February Central England Temperature (CET) should also make for interesting reading come the end of the month.
More information is available in the several page February subscribers report for the UK and Ireland (due to be uploaded shortly)
UPDATE ADDED: Tuesday 19th January 2016 - James Madden (ADDED TO SUBCRIBERS EARLIER)
Cold & Wintry Week Ahead + Start Of The Big Freeze?
The upcoming week will turn much colder with widespread frosts and wintry/snow showers will become a common feature for many parts of the country.
Temperatures could also lean towards -10C or less in parts of the north by the middle part of the week. By midweek we will also see a wide swathe of snow showers breaking out across many parts of the country. From the later part of Wednesday (13th January) and through to the weekend will see a number of widespread snow events hitting the country, and there is likely to be some heavy snow with notable accumulations in parts to the north, west, east and central parts of the country. The main bulk of the snow and the risk of widespread disruption is likely to come throughout Wednesday and into Thursday on current indications, in particular, in the northern half of the country across most areas from the north, west and east (North/east Ireland + maybe south/west).
Some heavy snow could also develop in parts of Wales/Central England and in parts of Southern England later. Some question marks do surround the exact detail for the snow in Southern England within this period. However, there is the risk for some moderate to heavy snow within this period on current indications, in particular, for in or around Friday and into next weekend. In essence, every single part of the country is at risk of seeing snow throughout the upcoming week - even to much lower levels of the country - All as indicated in our much earlier forecasts to subscribers for these dates.
These colder and wintry conditions look like they are here to stay for quite some time, and although some brief milder interludes can't be entirely ruled out at times - it's now extremely likely that the colder theme will become the more dominant weather pattern throughout the remainder of winter and well into the start of the meteorological spring (we certainly are looking at the most significant cold snap since that of December 2010 or March 2013 - both the coldest in over 100 years).
Exacta Weather also recently featured on the front page of the NATIONAL news (Daily Express) for the upcoming much colder and well touted wintry weather/snow for this exact period in the below:
To offer a bit more conciseness at to why we could be facing a scenario similar to December 2010 or March 2013 (both the coldest in 100 years) please read all of the following below:
The Arctic (AO) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) are major drivers of our weather patterns, and when in negative mode they send colder Arctic air and snowstorms to our shores providing the ingredients and other background drivers are in the right places.
As it stands the Arctic Oscillation is set to enter a strongly negative phase by mid-month and if we combine this with an also negative North Atlantic Oscillation, then the last time we experienced anything like or in comparison to this was in March 2013 or December 2010.
It could be argued that we are in an El Nino winter and that we can't be facing any potentially record-breaking cold/snow. However, with this type of setup we are certainly looking at some sharp temperature declines and potential snowbombs from this week onwards (conventional meteorology will pick up on the severity of these events later - just as they have suddenly recognised the incoming cold/snow from nowhere).
This is where the potential for record-breaking weather comes in, in particular, within the remainder of January and February.
This type of setup also offers the potential for widespread snow cover similar to what we experienced within these periods (December 2010 and March 2013), in particular, in parts of the north but not restricted to these parts. This snow cover also has a knock-on effect for later in the period that will worsen conditions more than current model indications, along with a contributing albedo effect from lying snow on the ground that will be combined with the period of low solar activity that we currently reside within.
More detailed information for further ahead is available within the subscribers area and this also includes the newly uploaded Spring and Summer 2016 PDF weather reports within the login area. Exacta Weather have attained high accuracy for the past five successive summer forecasts (we guarantee that this one is worth reading).
UPDATE ADDED: Monday 11th January 2016 - James Madden (UPDATE ADDED EARLIER TO SUBSCRIBERS)
Exacta Weather have also forecast the following long-range forecasts with a very high success ratio to our subscribers from several months ahead within the last year:
The cold and wet summer for the UK & Ireland + media articles from several months ahead with accurate descriptions from Exacta Weather
The Met Office also admitted it had failed to predict the wash-out endured by Britain in the below article and stated that it was 'impossible' to predict.
We have also had a very good year scientifically for our scientific claims dating back to 2009 when global warming had a stronghold upon the scientific community. However, we are now finally being backed up by one of the worlds leading climatologists in the following largely Exacta Weather based article about the Gulf Stream that has received 250,000 likes on Facebook!
Professor Stefan Rahmstorf of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany backs up our science within the above article, and he works from the exact same office that Einstein developed relativity... He also goes on to state the following about the Gulf Stream:
Professor Stefan Rahmstorf, said it has slowed by between 15 and 20 per cent. This has resulted in cooling equivalent to switching off a million power stations with possible catastrophic effects this winter. “There is more than a 99 per cent probability that this slowdown is unique over the period we looked at since 900 AD. “We conclude that the slowdown many have described is in fact already underway and it is outside of any natural variation.”